First quarter electricity consumption is expected to increase 6%-7%

Recently, according to Ouyang Changyu, deputy secretary-general of the China Electricity Council, and director of the industry development planning department, it is expected that the growth rate of electricity consumption in the entire society will be about 6%-7% in the first quarter. The growth rate of electricity consumption in the first quarter was at a relatively low level throughout the year.

In the first quarter of 2011, the total social power consumption of the full-calibre population was 1091.1 million kWh, which represented a year-on-year increase of 12.7%. Compared with the forecast of the CEC, the electricity growth rate in the first quarter of this year was almost half of the same period of last year. Analysts said that the negative growth rate of electricity consumption in January was mainly due to the Spring Festival factor. The sharp decline in electricity consumption growth in the first quarter compared with the same period last year means that the economic growth rate has dropped significantly.

Ouyang Changyu believes that with the recovery of industrial production activities, the growth rate of electricity consumption will rise month by month. In January this year, the growth rate of electricity consumption is negative. The growth rate of electricity consumption in January-February is expected to be 5%-6%, and the growth rate of electricity consumption in January-March is expected to rise to 6%-7%. CEC expects this year's electricity growth rate of 9.5%, showing the trend of low and high.

In spite of the slowdown in electricity consumption, CETD said that according to the current situation, it is more likely that the water from the hydropower system before the flood season will be less dry in 2012. The regional and time-consuming contradictions of the thermal coal are still prominent, and the external environment of the power supply is still prominent. Still more severe. Based on the comprehensive balance analysis, in 2012, the overall supply and demand of electricity in the country remained tight. Regional, seasonal, seasonal power shortages were still prominent, and the maximum power gap was 30 million to 40 million kilowatts.